Modelling turnout in the seats that decide the federal majority
A seat-level model of fourteen marginals shows the federal majority turning on turnout differentials rather than swing.
Lim Su Yin · 24 Jul 2026 · 10 min read
Desk
Analysis
Longer-form interpretation of political and policy developments, grounded in the record.
3 published reports · RSS
State elections and the federal calendar: the timing problem
Lim Su Yin · 14 Jul 2026 · 10 min read
What the civil service headcount data actually shows
Adam Tengku · 12 Jul 2026 · 11 min read